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Free Pick Breakdown Dodgers v. Diamondbacks

By Taking Vegas
September 12, 2022
Photo by: Marcio Jose Sanchez - AP Photo

MLB MONDAY NIGHT 9-12-2022

LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 PM EST)

Line: LA Dodgers -212
Total: 9

The Dodgers are a big favorite and rightly so. They are much better than Arizona and they have the advantage in the pitching matchup with Anderson (14-3, 2.73) opposing Ryne Nelson, who has made 1 start in his career.

Now, in fairness to Nelson, that 1 start was a good one as he went 7 innings and allowed just 4 hits and no earned runs in a 5-0 win over San Diego. That said, the Dodgers are a different animal than San Diego is and right now they are crushing the ball. Over their last 8 games, they have scored 64 runs (8 runs per game) and each of those 8 games has seen at least 9 runs scored, which is what this total is set at for tonight.

LA has won their last 8 games vs Arizona this season by a combined score of 55-24. This is a mismatch in every sense of the word however, you do not need us to give you a -212 favorite in Baseball. You can do that on your own.

We are going to use the total here and go with the Over because Nelson may have surprised the Padres but now with film and study, the Dodgers will be more prepared, plus they simply have a harder batting order to get through.

Anderson is a solid pitcher for the Dodgers but his ERA on the road is 3.12 compared to 2.35 at home. Also, on the road his allowed batting average is .240 compared to .211 at home.

Arizona scored 12 runs yesterday against Colorado and 4 of their last 5 games have seen at least 9 runs. Look for a high scoring affair tonight.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free Pick: OVER 9 RUNS DODGERS / DIAMONDBACKS

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