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Free Pick Breakdown Guardians v. Athletics

By Taking Vegas
June 11, 2022
Photo by: Jason Miller - Getty Images

OAKLAND at CLEVELAND
4:10 PM EST
LINE: CLEVELAND -130
TOTAL: OVER 7.5

A couple of days ago we released a free pick on the LA Angels when they were on a 14-game losing streak and we said, eventually a losing streak must end right. We were right about that as the Angels beat the Red Sox that night.

Now Oakland is on a 10-game losing streak, but we feel this one is going to continue. The Athletics have scored just 193 runs this season in 60 games. You do not need to be a math major to know that is an average of just over 3 runs per game. It has been even worse for them on this streak as they have scored just 20 runs over the past 10 games while allowing 60 runs. That is about as bad as you can be.

Frankie Montas is going for Oakland this afternoon and he has been one of the lone bright spots for the Athletics this season despite having a 2-6 record. This is more due to poor run support than his own performance as he has a 3.06 ERA this season. However, Oakland has lost his last 8 starts and the last time he saw Cleveland, he went 5 innings, allowed 5 hits and 5 earned runs. In his last 7 starts, Oakland has scored just 7 runs for him. That would be the definition of terrible run support.

Zack Plesac hasn’t been great this season but the Guardians (still feels weird to type) have won his last 2 starts and in those starts he’s pitched 12 innings and allowed just 3 earned runs. This is a perfect match-up for him because Oakland simply does not hit and at home this season, he has pitched 29 innings and allowed just 10 earned runs so he’s been better in Cleveland than he has been on the road.

These are two teams going in opposite directions right now with Cleveland having won 3 straight and 9 of their last 11 while Oakland is just having a miserable season. To get this situation at a price of just -130 is too good to pass up so we will go with Cleveland at home in this one off the walk-off win last night.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free MLB Pick: Cleveland Guardians -130 (Plesac / Montas)

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