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Free Pick Breakdown Heat v. Hawks (4/8/22)

By Taking Vegas
April 8, 2022

Atlanta at Miami 8:00 PM EST
Line: Atlanta -2
Total: 230

Miami has already clinched the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they have nothing at all to play for this evening. Atlanta is currently the 9 seed, and they will have a chance to move up on someone this evening with a win because Cleveland and Brooklyn are playing each other so this is an important game to them to try and move into that 8 seed which is ultra-important.

The Heat looked like they were about to fall off a cliff two weeks ago when Jimmy Butler decided he wanted to try and fight the whole team and coaching staff, but Miami did what good, veteran teams do and that was put it behind them and move forward.

After a 15 point loss to the Nets on March 26th, they have rolled off 5 straight wins in impressive fashion and they are off a 29-point thrashing of Charlotte on Tuesday.

Atlanta is playing well as of late as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games straight-up and against the spread and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite. However, they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games as they have struggled for the most part this season when on the road. Their 15-24 overall road record shows that.

Miami is 2-1 against Atlanta this season but here is the deal for this evening. Obviously, Miami is going to do anything and everything to just get out of their remaining 2 games healthy. We cannot imagine a scenario here where their starters get more than 25 minutes tonight, if that.

This is a must win game for Atlanta if they want to have any chance at the 8 seed. Remember, if you finish 7 or 8 in your conference, you just have to win 1 game to make the playoffs and you are guaranteed at least 1 home. If you finish 9 or 10 you must win 2 games to make the playoffs.

We expect Atlanta to go all out to win this game and by the time the 4th quarter rolls around, the main Miami players will be on the bench enjoying the rest of the game.

Lay the 2 with Atlanta and expect them to pull away as the game goes along.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free Pick: Hawks (-2)

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