Free Pick Breakdown, Odds & Prediction: Guardians vs. Reds (8/16/23) - Taking Vegas



Free Pick Breakdown, Odds & Prediction: Guardians vs. Reds (8/16/23)

By TakingVegas Staff Writer
August 16, 2023
Photo by: David Richard - USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Guardians have been struggling as they are second in the AL Central with a 58-62 record right now. Right-hander Noah Syndergaard takes the mound and picked up a win over the Toronto Blue Jays where he pitched 5.2 innings and gave up one run on six hits with a hit by pitch, two walks and five strikeouts.

The Cincinnati Reds have been doing decently well as they are currently third in the NL Central with a 62-59 record. Rookie southpaw Andrew Abbott will be on the mound in this game and is coming off a victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates where he threw 5.2 innings and allowed two runs on four hits with a walk and nine strikeouts. 

Match Details

Fixture: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Date & Time: Wednesday, August 16, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Venue Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

Guardians vs Reds Betting Odds

TeamSpread MoneylineTotal
Cleveland Guardians+1.5 (-142)+136Over 9.5 (-115)
Cincinnati Reds-1.5 (+120)-162Under 9.5 (-105)

Odds Subject to Change**

Guardians vs Reds Key Stats

Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians have been one of the worst teams at the plate as they are 26th in the majors with a .693 team OPS while averaging 4.07 runs per game. They have done extremely well on the road as in their 61 road games thus far, they have posted a .253/.313/.380 team slash line while scoring 4.52 runs per game. Third baseman Jose Ramirez has been doing incredibly well as he has a .848 OPS with 18 home runs, 65 RBIs, 69 runs scored and 18 steals on 22 attempts. 

Noah Syndergaard has been struggling on the mound this season as he is 2-5 with a 6.35 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 72.1 innings of work. Hitters have been teeing off on him as he has a .301 batting average against up to this point. Syndergaard faced the Reds as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers as he did not factor the decision by going three innings and gave up six runs on seven hits with a hit by pitch and three strikeouts.

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have been doing a good job offensively as they are tied with the Philadelphia Phillies for 11th in MLB while scoring 4.8 runs per game and a .742 team OPS. They have been playing at an average level throughout the season inside of Great American Ball Park as they are 15th with a .739 team OPS while averaging 4.66 runs in their 61 home games. First baseman Spencer Steer has been clicking at the plate as he has a .272/.353/.470 slash line with 18 homers, 66 RBIs, 56 runs scored and 10 stolen bases while being caught twice.

Austin Abbott has been pitching very well as he is 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP while throwing 76.1 innings in 13 starts. He has been doing very well as hitters have just a .210 opposing batting average. This is the first time that Abbott is facing this Cleveland lineup so this should be a good test. 

Guardians vs. Reds Prediction

Diving into the last few starts for each pitcher there is a massive difference. Noah Syndergaard is 0-1 with a 9.47 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in his last four starts while Andrew Abbott is 3-3 with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in his last seven starts. The Reds have a lot of young players with excellent offensive abilities while I can’t trust more than Jose Ramirez to do well on the Guardians. Go with the Reds to cover the run line here.  

Betting Prediction: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+120)