Free Pick Breakdown, Odds & Prediction: Jets vs. Patriots (11/20/2022) - Taking Vegas



Free Pick Breakdown, Odds & Prediction: Jets vs. Patriots (11/20/2022)

By TakingVegas Staff Writer
November 18, 2022
Photo by Jim McIsaac - Getty Images

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots (11/20 @ 1:00 PM EST.)

Spread: New England (-4)
Total: Over 39


Overview and Betting Info

If asked in August, very few fans would have predicted that the New York Jets would have a better record than the New England Patriots in Week 11. But here we are, and the 6-3 New York Jets travel to Foxboro to take on the 5-4 Patriots. The Jets have exceeded expectations particularly in road games this season; they are a perfect 4-0 so far.

The Patriots have owned the Jets in this head-to-head series with a 72-54-1 record. More importantly, the Patriots have not lost to the Jets since December 27, 2015, when the Jets prevailed in overtime by the score of 26-20. Since then, the Patriots have won 13 straight. Many of these games happened in the glory days of the Patriots and the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era of dominant football.

New York Jets

Jets head coach Robert Saleh must be in serious discussions for Coach of the Year. He has his players believing in themselves. They are finding creative ways to win and taking advantage of opponents’ mistakes. That huge Week 2 win over the Cleveland Browns with backup quarterback Joe Flacco leading the team has been a cornerstone of establishing the team’s identity in 2022. Since returning from injury, starting quarterback Zach Wilson has thrown four touchdowns and five interceptions. Two of those touchdowns were thrown to his favorite target Garrett Wilson.

The Jets are averaging 21.8 points scored per game and allowing an average of 19.6 points. Pro Football Talk ranks the Jets as 8th best in its Week 11 power rankings.

New England Patriots

Like the Jets, the Patriots are also led by a young quarterback in Mac Jones who has dealt with sophomore struggles. He has thrown four touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jones favorite target is Jakobi Myers who has caught three touchdown passes.

The Patriots’ stats look like the Jets. They score an average of 22.6 points per game while allowing 18.4. The Patriots are ranked 12th in Pro Football Talk’s Week 12 rankings.

Free Pick: Over 39

This is the second meeting between these two teams this season. The Patriots won in Week 8 by the score of 22-17. Eventually the resilient Jets team will end the Patriots winning streak, and that could happen as soon as Sunday. This will be a close game in which the teams will combine to score Over 39, making it the recommended pick.