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Free Pick Breakdown Padres v. Cardinals (5/31/22)

By Taking Vegas
May 31, 2022
Photo by: Jeff Curry - USA Today Sports

San Diego at St. Louis 7:45 PM EST
Line: Cardinals -130
Total: 8.5
Pitching Match-up: Snell (L) vs Wainwright (R)

We are looking at an umpire angle for this one here as we like the Over 8.5 runs between San Diego and St Louis on Tuesday night. Chris Segal has worked 9 games behind home plate this season and the over is 8-1 in those 9 games. The average runs scored in those games is 10.3. He is an umpire with a small strike zone which favors the hitters in a big way as he has a strike percentage of 63.6.

Also, it is a very hot day in St Louis today and while temperatures will obviously cool down by first pitch, we still expect the hot air to help with run support. St Louis is playing the 8th game of a 9-game home stand and in the prior 7 games, the average final score has added up to exactly what this total is set at, 8.5.

With Segal behind the plate tonight, coupled with the hot weather, we expect a high scoring game this evening. St Louis is 6th in team batting average so far this season and they have a team batting average of .283 vs left-handed pitching. That would be, by far, the top batting average in the league so expect them to hit Snell tonight and the Padres will get enough off Wainwright to see this game into double digits.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free Pick: Over 8.5 Runs Padres / Cardinals

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