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Free Pick Breakdown & Prediction: Tulsa vs. Temple (10/21/22)

By Ace Margolis
October 21, 2022
Photo by: John Clanton - Tulsa World

Tulsa vs Temple (10/21/22 – 4:30 pm EDT)

Line: Tulsa -13.0
O/U: 52.5

Tulsa vs Temple Overview

Two American Athletic Conference foes go head to head this Friday night with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane heading into Philadelphia to take on the Temple Owls at Lincoln Financial Field. Both teams are coming off a loss with the Hurricanes losing to Navy and the Owls not up to par against Central Florida.

Tulsa Analysis

Talk about disappointing seasons in college football this year and the Golden Hurricane have to be mentioned as they should be more successful than their 2-4 record, especially when you take into account that they played their only two ranked opponents very close. This is also a team that has lost three games in a row including last weekend’s 53-21 destruction at the hands of Navy. Against the spread, Tulsa has fared a bit better at 2-3-1 and has a winning record against the over/under at 4-2.

Here is the major issue with Tulsa: they’re already 0-2 in the AAU Conference, putting them in a tenth-place tie with Temple. Adding to their ineptitude is an 0-3 record on the road where they have yet to win a game this season. Their only wins have come at home against 110th-ranked Northern Illinois and Jacksonville State, a team that isn’t even part of the FBS. What’s strange is how Tulsa can stay within 10 points of FBS opponents like Old Miss and Cincinnati yet get blown out by 32 points to Navy, a team that doesn’t intimidate anyone.

There are a few bright spots sprinkled amongst this Tulsa team starting with their quarterback, Davis Brin, who has thrown for 1,838 yards, which ranks 23rd in the country. The biggest standout for the entire Golden Hurricane team this season has to be Keylon Stokes who has already accumulated 765 yards receiving, which is third-most in college football and his 127.5 yards per game is second in the nation. Both Brin and Stokes will need to be at the top of their games if they are going to beat Temple on the road.

Temple Analysis

If Tulsa has had a disappointing season thus far, Temple has had an awful one as well as they have made their road games feel like automatic losses by being outscored by 108 points (124-16) over three games. They didn’t make matters any better after losing last Saturday to Central Florida on the road, 70-13. Despite the lopsided losses, the Owls have gone 3-3 ATS yet have not fared so well against the over/under, going 2-4.

For a team that hasn’t even faced a ranked FBS opponent yet this season, the Owls have very little excuse coming into this game other than the fact that they’re ranked 122nd out of 131 teams in the FBS. Yikes! Temple’s most recent loss drops them to 2-4 and 0-2 in the AAU, which puts them in a tie for eighth place with Tulsa and already five games behind first-place Tulane. Their two wins this season both came at home, both versus inferior teams, one of which was against UMASS, who ranked 130th in the nation, second to last.

But does Temple do anything right? Yes! There is one thing the Owls have to get credit for and that’s their ability to rush the quarterback. In fact, it’s odd the team is only 2-4 considering they rank eighth in the nation with 21 sacks. Linebacker Layton Jordan leads the team and is 20th in the country with 4.5 overall sacks followed by three guys with three sacks apiece. Temple’s secondary is also solid, holding opponents to only 196.3 yards per contest, good for 29th in the country.

Free Pick – Temple +13

Both teams are 2-4. Think about that for a moment. Tulsa hasn’t done anything special lately and they’re favored by nearly two touchdowns on the road. These teams have only played four times but Temple has gone 3-1 in the series, including wins in both games at home. The Golden Hurricane are winless on the road and while the Owls are struggling, they’ve still got a solid defense to match up against Tulsa’s biggest strength: their passing game. Having to win by at least two scores on the road in Philadelphia will be too tough for Tulsa. We’re picking Temple +13.

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