Free Pick Breakdown Rangers v. Mariners (4/21/22) - Taking Vegas



Free Pick Breakdown Rangers v. Mariners (4/21/22)

By TakingVegas Staff Writer
April 21, 2022

Texas at Seattle 9:40 PM EST
Line: Mariners -138
Total: 8
Pitching Match-up: Hearn (L) vs Gonzales (L)

Texas visits Seattle this evening for the last game of a 3-game set in which Seattle has won the first 2 games. Overall, Seattle comes in on a 3-game winning streak while Texas has dropped 5 straight overall. We aren’t going to look at the side here though, but we do like the total.

In the 11 games the Rangers have played this year, the average final score has added up to 11 runs. In fact, they are the #1 ranked team in the Majors regarding playing games over the total as the Over is 6-3-2 in those 11 games.

The reason for this is quite simple. Texas has the worst team ERA in Baseball, at 6.09. Their pitching staff also has the 2nd worst WHIP (walks, hits to innings pitcher) at 1.56. None of this should improve tonight With Taylor Hearn on the mound as he only lasted 3 2/3 innings in his last start when he gave up 6 hits and 3 earned runs against the Angels.

Texas, for as bad as their pitching has been, is consistent offensively as they have scored 53 runs this season for an average of 4.8 runs per game. They have a decent lineup and should have plenty of opportunities to score runs this evening.

As far as Seattle goes, they have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 33 runs in their past 6 games. They have been good offensively on this home stand and should have success against Hearn.

Regarding their pitching, it is far better than the Texas staff, however we expect Gonzales to struggle with the Rangers lineup and while their bullpen is #4 in the league in ERA, our numbers have Texas scoring at least 5 runs tonight which would put this game easily over the number as we expect Seattle to score as well.

Also, the home plate umpire for tonight’s game is Carlos Torres and the last game he was behind the plate for, there were 15 runs scored in the game. Look for a game tonight that gets to at least 11 runs minimum as we feel it will be a 6-5 type of game, either which way 1* Free Pick: Over 8 Rangers/Mariners