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Free Pick Breakdown Reds v. Padres (4/18/22)

By Taking Vegas
April 18, 2022

Cincinnati at San Diego 9:40 PM EST
Line: Padres -185
Total: 7.5
Pitching Match-up: Lodolo (L) vs Manaea (L)

The Reds are playing exactly how everyone thought they would be playing. They are 2-8 on the season, losers of 6 straight and they have already been outscored by 24 runs which is the worst in the majors.

Their starting pitcher tonight, Nick Lodolo did not fare well in his first start of the season as he allowed 7 hits and 5 earned runs in just 4 innings against Cleveland. That said, we are going to lean with the Under in this game tonight because we are not thrilled about ever laying -185 in any game. Cincinnati has scored just 15 runs in their last 6 games and over their last 4 games they have scored just 7 runs.

They have a team batting average of .180 and a team On Base Percentage of just .254. No, those are not typos. Those are their offensive numbers.

San Diego has played 11 games this year and the Under is 3-8 in those games. In Sean Manaea’s two starts this year he has a 1.38 ERA along with 13 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Both games he has started easily stayed under the posted total. In fact, neither of those games saw over 3 runs.

The Reds numbers against Left-Handed Pitchers this year are terrible, and we expect Manaea to have another good game here. That said, the reason we are not laying -185 with him is because San Diego has scored just 4 runs in his 2 starts and they have scored just 5 runs in their last 3 games.

Over the last week, they have had 1 good offensive game and their team batting average vs Left-Handed pitchers this season is just .221. We will back the under here.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free Pick: Under 7.5 Runs

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