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Free Pick Breakdown Reds v. Padres (4/27/22)

By Taking Vegas
April 27, 2022

San Diego at Cincinnati 6:40 PM EST
Line: Padres -170
Total: 8.5
Pitching Match-up: Gore (L) vs Gutierrez (R)

Cincinnati is by far the worst team in the majors as they come into this game with a 3-14 record, having been outscored by 44 runs in the process. They are 1-12 in their last 13 games and out of those 13 games, 9 have stayed below 8.5 total runs so that is why we are looking at the total here this evening.

The Padres have won 6 of their last 8 games and even though these teams played a high scoring game last night, 3 of their 4 meetings (all won by San Diego by the way) have stayed below 8.5 runs.

Also, the home plate umpire tonight is Chad Whitson. He has worked 3 games behind the plate so far this season and all 3 of those games have stayed beneath the total and there were a total of 53 strikeouts. He has a very wide strike zone which will lead to a high number of strikeouts again this evening and batters offering at pitches they normally wouldn’t swing at.

As far as the pitching match-up goes this evening, MacKenzie Gore has started 2 games this season and has only allowed 2 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings pitched. Cincinnati has the 2nd worst batting average in the league, and they have a team batting average of .197 against left-handed pitching.

San Diego has played 8 road games this season and they have only hit the ball well in two of those games. If you take out the 9 last night vs the Reds and the 10 they scored at Arizona, they only scored 17 runs in the other 6 games.

We feel this is a high number tonight which is predicated on the scoring last night and that is a mistake.

TakingVegas.com 1* Free Pick: Under 8.5 Runs

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