Free Pick Breakdown Tennessee v. LSU (10/8) - Taking Vegas



Free Pick Breakdown Tennessee v. LSU (10/8)

By TakingVegas Staff Writer
October 6, 2022

College Football

No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers vs. No. 25 LSU Tigers (10/8 @ 12:00 PM EST.)

Line: Tennessee (-3)
Total: 65

Tennessee vs LSU Breakdown and Betting Odds

The No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) are heading to Death Valley Louisiana to face the No. 25 LSU Tigers (4-1) on Saturday at noon ET. The Volunteers are 3-point favorites over the Tigers with an over/under of 65.

LSU has won the last five games against Tennessee dating back to 2006. The schools have not played in Baton Rouge, Louisiana since 2010. LSU has an average margin of victory of 12.8 in their five-game win streak over Tennessee.

Tennessee Overview

Tennessee last played on September 24, a 5-point win against No. 20 Florida. The Vols have been led by quarterback Hendon Hooker who has 1,193 passing yards and 11 total touchdowns in four games. Top wide receiver Jalin Hyatt caught five passes for 58 yards in Tennessee’s win over Florida after scoring in two of the first three weeks. Tennessee has averaged 48.5 points per game, second best in college football.

Defensively, Tennessee has forced eight turnovers in four games including an interception on the final play of the game against Florida. However, they have allowed 60 points in two games against ranked teams.

The Volunteers will be without cornerback Warren Burrell for the rest of the season. Burrell had played 27 games across four seasons for the Vols. Wide receiver Cedric Tillman’s status is day-to-day.

The Volunteers are 3-1 ATS with their lone loss coming as 11-point favorites against Florida. This week will be Tennessee’s shortest spread so far.

LSU Overview

Last week, LSU came back from down 17-0 to defeat Auburn on the road. While they did not cover the -8 spread, LSU did salvage the moneyline after scoring the final 21 points. Star quarterback Jayden Daniels only completed eight of 20 passes, but he did score a rushing touchdown. The Tigers were outgained by 168 yards, but they benefited from four Auburn turnovers.

Cornerback Sevyn Banks suffered a scary injury last week against Auburn. He will be out for at least a month, depleting LSU’s secondary. Daniels is dealing with a knee injury, so his effectiveness could be limited.

After losing their opening game, LSU has won four consecutive games including a 2-0 start in SEC play. They are undefeated at home with an average margin of victory of 33.7 points. In the SEC, the Tigers have an average margin of victory of just 9.5 points after eking out a win in Auburn. 1* Pick: Under 65

Betting on road favorites in the SEC is no easy task, so we like Under 65 in this battle of ranked SEC teams. The over is 1-4 in LSU games, speaking to the team’s inconsistent offense and swarming defense. The over is 3-1 in Tennessee games, but it is 1-1 in games against ranked teams.

Both teams are averaging more than one giveaway per game, so there could be long drives that end in a turnover rather than points. In the SEC, LSU is averaging 25 points per game while Tennessee is averaging 36 points per game.

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