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NBA Western Conference Win Total Projections

By Logan Market
October 17, 2022

NBA Western Conference Win Total Projections

The new NBA season starts pretty soon, and Vegas Insider has released their win projections for the western conference, and it’s looking pretty interesting.

15th Seed: San Antonio Spurs (Over/Under 22.5 Wins)

The San Antonio Spurs are undoubtedly in rebuild mode.

This off-season the Spurs traded their star player in Dejounte Murray to the Atlanta Hawks, and that solidified them as a rebuilding team. And on paper, the Spurs are looking like one of the worst in the league. Other than Keldon Johnson, they really don’t have much to look forward to.

The Spurs will probably be one of the worst teams in the league this season, so don’t be surprised if they get less than 23 wins.

14th Seed: Houston Rockets (Over/Under 23.5 Wins)

The Houston Rockets are another team that is rebuilding.

They drafted Jabari Smith Jr. in the draft along with Tyty Washington, and they also have Jalen Green who is trying to prove himself. Kevin Porter Jr. is also a very solid player that is still developing for Houston.

This Rockets team is pretty young, but we still have to give them a lot of time to develop before they reach their full potential. As the season goes on, they should get more experienced and get a little more than 23 wins.

13th Seed: Oklahoma City Thunder (Over/Under 23.5 Wins)

The Thunder are a team that is pretty young, and we’ll have to wait a few years for them to develop.

Along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, and Luguentz Dort, the Thunder drafted Chet Holmgren in the NBA Draft. It looks like the Thunder have a bright future ahead of themselves, especially with all of the draft picks they have in the coming years.

With how young this team is, they won’t be great, but they should be able to get over the 23 win mark.

12th Seed: Utah Jazz (Over/Under 24.5 Wins)

After multiple good seasons with nothing to show for it, the Utah Jazz have decided to start their rebuilding process.

They traded away Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell this off-season, and they definitely won’t have a great season this year. But, they did acquire Collin Sexton and Lauri Markkanen from the Cavaliers in the Donovan Mitchell trade. The Jazz have a long way to go to get better, though.

This team will not be good this season, so you should expect them to be under that 25 win mark.

11th Seed: Sacramento Kings (Over/Under 33.5 Wins)

The Sacramento Kings have been struggling for a long time now, and this doesn’t seem like a season where much will change.

De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis are a solid duo to have, but the supporting cast may not do a whole lot. But, they are still a young team and their performance could change throughout the season.

The Kings definitely won’t be good this season, and you shouldn’t be surprised if they have less than 34 wins.

10th Seed: Portland Trail Blazers (Over/Under 39.5 Wins)

Going into this season, the Trail Blazers don’t have a bad roster. But, based on the last few seasons, they may not do very well.

Damian Lillard will still play well like always, but the supporting cast may not be strong enough to propel them to the playoffs. Overall, their roster isn’t bad, it’s just that they may not be able to keep up with the better teams.

This team won’t be bad, but don’t be surprised if they end up with a little bit under 40 wins.

9th Seed: New Orleans Pelicans (Over/Under 44.5 Wins)

The Pelicans should be battling for a playoff spot this season.

If they can stay healthy, then this team can be solid. Zion Williamson will be coming back for New Orleans, and Brandon Ingram has proven that he can be a number one option for an NBA team.

Assuming that New Orleans can stay healthy, then they can end up getting over that 44 win mark.

8th Seed: Los Angeles Lakers (Over/Under 45.5 Wins)

The Los Angeles Lakers are a difficult team to predict how well they will do.

If LA can stay healthy, then this team can be a championship contender. Russell Westbrook will also have to step up and play better if the Lakers want to get anywhere near the playoffs. Just overall, the Lakers need to stay healthy if they want to go places this season.

If the Lakers can play to their full potential, then there should be no reason that they don’t end up with over 45 wins this season.

7th Seed: Minnesota Timberwolves (Over/Under 48.5 Wins)

This season, the Timberwolves may be one of the most interesting teams to watch.

They acquired Rudy Gobert this off-season, and we still don’t know how well he will pair with Karl Anthony-Towns. Anthony Edwards will also be looking to make the next step in his NBA career. Their only problem might be that their bench isn’t deep enough.

This team has loads of talent, but their bench may hold them back a little bit. So for that reason, Minnesota may end up with a little bit less than the 49 win mark.

6th Seed: Dallas Mavericks (Over/Under 48.5 Wins)

The Dallas Mavericks could also be a difficult team to predict.

This off-season, they lost Jalen Brunson to the New York Knicks, but they did add Christian Wood to their team. But, Christian Wood more than likely won’t answer all their problems. Luka Dončić will still be a superstar for them, though.

Since Dallas didn’t really upgrade their roster this off-season, you can definitely expect them to end up with less than 49 wins.

5th Seed: Memphis Grizzlies (Over/Under 48.5 Wins)

The Memphis Grizzlies will be looking to build on a very strong season last year.

Ja Morant and the Grizzlies were a pleasant surprise last year, and this young team will be very motivated to build on that. This should be a very good team this year.

This young team will be ready to play this year, and they will be tough to beat. For that reason, they should get over that 48 win mark.

4th Seed: Denver Nuggets (Over/Under 49.5 Wins)

The Denver Nuggets could be one of the best teams in the league this season.

Along with the back-to-back MVP Nikola Jokić, the Nuggets will finally have Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back on the team. This team has the potential to be very good this season.

Assuming that this team can stay healthy, they should be able to get more than 49 wins this year.

3rd Seed: Golden State Warriors (Over/Under 51.5 Wins)

The reigning NBA champions should be one of the best teams in the league this season.

The trio of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green has proven to make the Warriors as one of the most dangerous teams in the league. They lost a few bench players this off-season, but the Warriors will still be a great team.

With how good this Warriors team is on paper, they should be able to get more than 51 wins.

2nd Seed: Los Angeles Clippers (Over/Under 52.5 Wins)

This Clippers team is absolutely loaded.

Kawhi Leonard is one of the best players in the league, and hopefully, he can return to being a dominant player after his injury. Overall, this team looks really good with everyone they have on their roster.

If the Clippers can keep their stars healthy, then this team should be able to get over that 52 win mark.

1st Seed: Phoenix Suns (Over/Under 52.5 Wins)

This season, the Suns will most likely take a dip in the standings.

Chris Paul started to show his age at the end of the last season, and Devin Booker needs to start playing better basketball for Phoenix. They have a solid roster, but their window of being a dominant team is coming to an end.

With Chris Paul starting to regress, Phoenix can’t rely on him as heavily. And for that reason, they will more than likely end up with less than 53 wins.

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